My definition
by squid (2021-08-27 14:24:49)

In reply to: Western Illinois isn't Tier 4  posted by tf86

Post Reply Return to Rock's House

was 99% chance of victory in the game.

Just a rough estimate of course. But the point being that the chance of losing such a game is so low that the outcome is all but assured. That's very different than playing a weak FBS team.

Chance of a lost after playing three teams with a 85% win chance: 27% chance of a lost. Those three games alone make an undefeated season a 3/4 proposition.

Chance of a lost after playing three teams with a 99% win chance: 3% chance of a lost.

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