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Playing with that predictor a little: by Irish_Texan
If OkSt wins out, this model gives them only a 59% chance to be in the playoff, which incidentally is the exact same number we get to with a win on Saturday.
Bama, with a win against Auburn but a loss to UGA, still has a 55% chance to get in, according to this model. If they lose to Auburn but beat Georgia, it goes up to 79%. tOSU is 96% assuming they win their conference, and Cincy is all the way to 90% assuming they win out.
I'm surprised to see Alabama's chances so high with a loss in the SEC championship. I understand the alternative, as a win over Georgia would be as impressive as any other win this year, enough even to overcome two losses.