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That was before we lost to UC. by revressbo

It would not have taken chaos for an undefeated ND to make it. 12-0 ND will make it 99.5% of the time.

I am surprised given how weak our schedule is this year that an 11-1 ND has a pretty decent shot... but if anything that just proves how unlikely it is an undefeated ND will ever be left out.