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One potential problem with that scenario, and my best guess by tf86

There is a possibility that the #2 Big XII team is in the mix for an Access Bowl bid in that scenario. Granted, if there's a Big XII team in the CFP, that gets a little less likely, as at least one Big XII team from among Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and Baylor would have at least three losses. But if the Big XII misses the CFP, there's a possibility that you have all three of those teams with two losses apiece. Whoever wins the conference championship game gets the Sugar Bowl bid, but it's entirely possible that one of the other two winds up in an Access Bowl.

To go with your assumption and answer the question you posed, the attractiveness of a matchup is one of the factors which the Committee can take into consideration. And ND does play five games against the ACC in the regular season. OTOH, the individual ACC teams do not rotate through ND's schedule on a regular basis, and it's entirely possible that ND will go several (i.e., more than three consecutive) years without playing a particular ACC opponent.

Of the ACC teams still in contention for the conference title this season, ND played Virginia this season, so Virginia would be out as a potential opponent in a non-CFP NY6 bowl. ND also has played Clemson three times in the last three seasons, including twice last season, and is scheduled to play Clemson in each of the next two seasons. So Clemson also would be out as a prospective non-CFP NY6 bowl opponent this year, unless ND otherwise would have to play Cincinnati. OTOH, Pitt is a traditional rival who no longer plays ND annually, so perhaps the Committee would want that as a matchup.

With all of that said, if we were to assume that Oregon will split with Utah, I think there is a much better chance that Oregon would lose the true road game, then win at a neutral site with a Rose Bowl bid on the line, rather than vice versa. But who knows?