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I think it’s the exact opposite by DBCooper

If they lose to Arkansas or Auburn they are out. 2 losses to non top 15 teams is too much, but If they lose to Georgia in a close SEC finals they can still get in. I don’t think they would get in over a 1 loss Big 12, Big 10, Pac 12 champion or undefeated Cinci, but if there is a little more chaos they can still slide in as a 2 loss team and possibly over ND.