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Post being replied to

It’s because it’s a tough schedule for an average team. by revressbo

It’s an extremely easy one for a top-20 team.

Let’s take a look at two schedules:

A) The top six teams in America and the worst six teams in America.

B) The average 12 teams in America.

Any above average team would easily rather schedule B. Any below average/bad team would easily rather schedule A. But they’re probably rated the same difficulty.

Sagarin can’t differentiate that. He can’t tell that while our schedule would be very difficult for, say, Northwestern or Texas Tech, it’s not difficult for any good team (which we are good, we’re just not great/elite, which is the problem). He can’t differentiate that, while yeah we don’t play an FCS team, Toledo is not (well… shouldn’t be) a challenge for any good team. There’s no practical difference between Toledo and an FCS team for a ranked team. There IS a difference between Toledo and an FCS team for an average Group of 5 or below average Power 5.

Sagarin’s rankings can’t go into that nuance.