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No doubt. Transfers in & out are missing in my analysis by MrE

On the flip side of the Michigan State net gain, a situation like Jordan Johnson's departure knocks ND's class for 2020 down to #23 or so (independent of his actual production).

Also, I think the QB situation is the one "inefficiency" (on the field) that can allow a team to outperform their ranking here, or significantly hinder their success.

Obviously coaching moves the needle up, down or neutral.