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Toledo has 17 returning starters back, better than the avg.. by Hickster
MAC team. This is more helpful for a team's performance as long as they are decent players, especially at the beginning of the season.
Obviously, the quality of their average player is far below that of ND's. However, they are in a position to try and maximize their performance with veteran players, while ND is trying to make adjustments after the first game.
If ND was playing Toledo at the end of the season, then a 30 spread might be a fair expectation. After last week's performance at FSU, a 16.5 spread appears to be fair.