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Benefit of playoff access is not immutable across formats. by harmonica

Let's say all you care about is probability of winning a championship and ignore such other important considerations as regular season quality and player safety.

In this scenario, what you care about is probability of making the playoff (let's call this p) times probability of winning the playoff once you're in (called w). People seem to ignore the impact of the latter, either out of dishonesty or numerical illiteracy.

Swarbrick has increased p for every team, but for that to be worthwhile for Notre Dame, we need our w to decrease by less than that amount. Since Notre Dame can't receive a bye, I find it highly unlikely that this is the case. Its path to victory once inside the playoff has become disproportionately harder.

Combining that with the regular season dilution and player safety, I have yet to hear anything approaching a compelling argument for this format.

And your assertion that Notre Dame would most likely need to be undefeated to make an eight-team playoff is quite overstated. Looking back at past years, here's how many non-champion one-loss power 5 teams there were:

2019: 0
2018: 0
2017: 2
2016: 1
2015: 1
2014: 1
2013: 1

A one-loss Notre Dame would get occasionally shut out, but that claim is absurd.