Whether you have 4 stars or 3 stars, there's only one ball and so many minutes to go around. I think the Ayers class is the most comparable/relevant. And well, nobody sat out that year. So you are right about that.
As for the history of success, I was mostly referring to guys with 5th years. For whatever reason. Ironically, many were not exactly planned that way (transfer and suspensions).
Ultimately, I think Brey has the conversation, and it's up to the player. I just think there will be conversations.
I wonder if Ayers wished that he had another season.