Kelly is a .662 without ineligible players. .729 with them.

That's in the same ballpark as a projected 8.5 win Davie simply based on playing easier schedules. To say nothing of the recruiting restrictions that have been eased since Davie coached. And Davie were allowed in year 8 to keep learning on the job and given administrative direction in hiring new coordinators, he probably could've improved upon his first 7 years of performance to.

Yes, the exercise requires a lot of projection. But that was the point. Kelly has achieved what he achieved with benefits that Davie never had.