Bama has 0.01% shot too now that they are #3
by btd (2021-11-24 00:52:51)

In reply to: They will not  posted by Ty Webb

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They are not going to go from 3 to only 4 with two losses. They either win the SEC or they are out.

The Big 12 jumping us is very real. It is by far our top issue with getting in since we need a round robin of losses there. Still - we are #5 at worst 99% likely given 2 teams in front of us absolutely must lose - and Michigan is by far the most likely one of them to lose.

Reality is unless Cincy also loses, the doomsday scenario of being #4 happens. We either want to be #3 or #5.

This is correct. No way Bama stays in if they lose.
by NDavenue  (2021-11-24 08:09:28)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post

The committee has already signaled that Bama is on thin ice. The idea of Michigan or tOSU staying ahead of us with a 2nd loss is silly.

As for Cinci, a loss by them is a win-win for ND. They will remain in the Top 10 giving ND a quality loss but, definitely drop out of the Top 4.

The Big 12 is the big (potential) problem. But, only if OSU wins out. Still, a Cinci loss solves that problem.