Where UM would come out and smell blood early with growing confidence as the game wears on. It pains me to even think that way, but Kelly's track record with Michigan isn't great minus the cornholing before the hiatus. I don't think this team has it in them to overcome their coaching this year, unless it's an inferior opponent.

ND collapse than Michigan actually being good. Fair.

ND trailed Wisconsin in the 4th quarter, at a neutral site.

ND lost handily to a top 10 (committee) team at ND Stadium.
Michigan lost in an evenly played game to a top 10 team on the road.

I think Michigan is in the giant blob of "pretty good" alongside ND but the above distinctions need to be made.

Barely survived Nebraska and Penn St. I am not saying ND would beat them but there is no evidence they would hammer ND. They might be a slight favorite on a neutral field. We probably won’t find out bc OSU is most likely going to beat them by 2 TDs

And watching Michigan, I see some of the same dynamics as ND. Decent but not great QB play. Play hard, but not a lot of top-end talent, so struggle to separate from teams like Rutgers, FSU, Nebraska, Virginia Tech, et al. Some speed in pocket areas, but then you flip to an SEC game and it looks like you are watching something different.

Because, right now, the only SEC team that doesn't fit into that overall description is Georgia. Even Alabama has been up and down, remember their game against Florida?