There might be 4 games where you can say ND will have the talent and coaching advantage: Temple, Wake Forest, Miami (OH), and Boston College.
The other 8 games there will be talent deficiencies, coaching deficiencies or a combination of the two. Considering Kelly's track record in such situations, I think 4-4 is the best one can hope for there.
8-4 is the ceiling and I don't think another 4-8 finish is outside the range of outcomes. If Wimbush goes down early on, it will get ugly.