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It’s about 40,000 votes in three states by gregmorrissey
2020 % Margins (Vote Margins)
Georgia 0.20% (11,779) --- 16 EC votes
Arizona 0.30% (10,457) --- 11 EC votes
Wisconsin 0.70% (20,682) --- 10 EC votes
Pennsylvania 1.20% (81,660) --- 19 EC votes
Nevada 2.40% (33,596) --- 6 EC votes
Michigan 3.00% (154,188) --- 15 EC votes
As it stands today, Trump is at 235 and Biden is at 226 (270 needed to win). Trump won North Carolina by 1.4% (74,483 votes) so technically it's in play, but if Trump loses North Carolina then he will lose everywhere else that matters too. Likewise, if Biden loses in Minnesota.
Trump winning combinations - needs 35 votes
With PA
GA, PA = 35
PA and any other 2 >= 35
Without PA
GA, MI + Any
GA, AZ, WI
MI, AZ, WI