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Yes JT, pretty sure you're right.:GA, PA, MI, OH,FL, WI by beatgoeson
are typically cited. All that were tight last time seem to promise the same in '24. AZ too maybe. PA, GA, MI all have good reason, it seems,to expect a surge against Trump. MI, GA suffered apparent attempts to interfere from Trump, and it seems logical, that from Gov down will be dissuaded from Trump. Also PA has added legislature that would seem to create some sway toward Dems.
Finally, I just can't picture much voter enthusiasm for Trump. Just feel like in the quiet of contemplation (and we all do that in some way), enough people will be unable to accept Trump at a fitting choice. Biden has the benefit of a pretty good cabinet, my opine. Neither of these guys are out there as loose cannons, but one seems more loose than the other!