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Kelly is a .662 without ineligible players. .729 with them. by tdiddy07
That's in the same ballpark as a projected 8.5 win Davie simply based on playing easier schedules. To say nothing of the recruiting restrictions that have been eased since Davie coached. And Davie were allowed in year 8 to keep learning on the job and given administrative direction in hiring new coordinators, he probably could've improved upon his first 7 years of performance to.
Yes, the exercise requires a lot of projection. But that was the point. Kelly has achieved what he achieved with benefits that Davie never had.