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Playoff scenarios seem straightforward by garbageplate

ND needs two of the following four to happen:

1. Bama loses to UGA;
2. Oklahoma State loses to Baylor (assuming that they'd pass ND with a win);
3. Cincinnati loses to Houston;
4. Michigan loses to Iowa.

Bama losing is the most likely scenario. Cincinnati has the benefit of playing at home and Iowa is unlikely to generate enough offense to hang with Michigan (although the letdown factor could come into play).

As for Oklahoma State, I'd imagine that they will be about a 6-7 point favorite against Baylor. Oklahoma State won the first game in Stillwater, but this will be a neutral site game (and, as with Michigan, perhaps a letdown is in play). Hopefully Baylor's starting QB, who's missed the last two games, will return next week.

I don't think a two loss Alabama team would pass ND after today's struggle against Auburn, but who knows? I suppose a two loss Ohio State or Michigan could theoretically beat out ND as well.