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If they lose a heartbreaker to UGA, then I could see it. by rockmcd

I know conference titles are part of the stated criteria, but it's not supposed to be a guarantee. The best path for Alabama would be:

Cincy loses to somebody
Utah wins the Pac 12
Wake Forest loses to somebody
The winner of the Big 12 has 2 losses
Ohio St wins at least one of its next 2 games (ensuring that UM and MSU don't both end up with 1 loss)

If the Bama vs UGA game looks like a heavyweight fight between the clear two best teams, then I'd expect the final ranking to be:

(1) Georgia 12-1
(2) Big 10 winner 12-1 or 11-2
(3) Bama 11-2
(4) Notre Dame 11-1. Hold me.
(5) Big 12 winner 11-2