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I would stop short of "most certainly" by gordonbombay

11-1 ND will probably not be in the final CFP top 5.

It's possible when the dust settles a 12-1 ND would be in the final AP top 5, but it's far short of certain. Since no CFP team is ever penalized for its loss by dropping out of the AP top 4 (except us, of course), we could only get as high as #5 and I'm not sure we would.