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There will be no marquee win to compensate for a loss by NavyJoe

I am not convinced that Wiscy, USC, or VT (?) will be good next year. If 5 of those teams are ranked, they will be ranked 10 - 25.

Cincy might be the best team we face.

One-loss teams make the playoffs when they beat Top-5 teams. That isn't going to happen next year.