High rewards for winning a group...
by ChicagoWave03 (2016-12-07 20:34:37)

In reply to: Does winning one's group earn a trophy?  posted by santamonica

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1 in 3 chance of Bayern or Real Madrid. Incredible.

They'll actually have greater than a 1 in 3 chance
by Vegas J-Mack  (2016-12-08 01:44:33)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post

…of drawing either Bayern or Real.

Good call
by ChicagoWave03  (2016-12-08 12:40:48)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post

I was just doing the simple math. Didn't take into account those two teams getting pulled out of other pools.

Shit.

Pray for Porto, Benfica, Sevilla, Bayer - expect RM or BM *
by santamonica  (2016-12-08 14:10:46)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post

Don't expect Sevilla to be much easier.
by baloo88  (2016-12-08 14:30:09)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post

They're currently sitting third in La Liga, ahead of Atleti, and they've won the Europa League each of the past two years. I'd say they're just about even money against the likes of Arsenal and Dortmund.
I'd take those odds over Real or Bayern
by santamonica  (2016-12-08 19:36:10)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post

Plus, sticking it to Nasri would be fun.
Dortmund are guaranteed to avoid both.
by baloo88  (2016-12-07 21:28:22)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post

They were in the same group as Madrid, and they're in the same federation as Bayern. The Round of 16 field is ridiculously strong this year though, so I don't see a gimme from the remaining options:

Manchester City
PSG
Benfica
Porto
Sevilla
It is definitely a strong round of 16
by ChicagoWave03  (2016-12-08 12:43:08)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post

but I'd certainly rather have Benfica or Porto over Bayern/RM.

Said differently Arsenal can't draw MC/PSG while Dortmund can't draw RM/Bayern. Winner - Dortmund.

At least second leg is home
by santamonica  (2016-12-07 20:49:53)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post

I was hoping Arsenal would last until at least the quarterfinals this time. Guess not.