Kick a field goal against Tulsa, don't fumble at the 1-yard line against USF, and don't fumble when running out the clock against Northwestern, and his records would be 9-4, 9-4, 12-1, 9-4, 9-4. That is still short of expectations but it would be a whole lot easier to swallow, and nonme of those are huge "if's."
Then is he stops Little Giants in 2010, Dernard in 2011, Pitt in 2012, and Louisville this year, he would have 10 wins a year.
Just to be clear, I'm not saying "Kelly is almost 10-3 each year! He is awesome!" I am saying that it is not too much to ask for a 10-3 season.