Conference tournaments taking shape
by tf86 (2024-04-26 09:57:21)

Start with the one everyone cares about. In the ACC, the combination of last week's results (ND over UNC, Syracuse over UVa) clinched the #1 seed for ND and the #2 seed for Syracuse. Virginia, despite their loss, also clinched a bid courtesy of ND's win over North Carolina.

If Duke beats North Carolina, Duke is the #3 seed and Virginia is the #4 seed regardless of the outcome of the ND-Virginia game. If Duke loses and Virginia wins, Virginia is the #3 seed, North Carolina is the #4 seed and Duke misses the conference tourney. If Virginia loses and North Carolina wins, last two seeds come down to goal differential in the Duke-North Carolina game:

If Duke loses by <5 goals, Duke is the #3 seed and Virginia is the #4 seed.
If Duke loses by 5-6 goals, Virginia is the #3 seed and Duke is the #4 seed.
If Duke loses by 7-10 goals, Virginia is the #3 seed and North Carolina is the #4 seed.
If Duke loses by > 10 goale, North Carolina is the #3 seed and Virginia is the #4 seed.

Other conferences:

America East: One team has clinched a bid in the conference tourney and five teams are in contention for the remaining three bids. Three head-to-head matchups affect these outcomes:

Albany/Binghamton: Albany has clinched a berth in the conference tournament, and earns the #1 seed with a win here. Binghamton needs either a win or a Bryant win to qualify for the tournament.

Bryant/Merrimack: The only matchup where the loser cannot qualify for the conference tournament. Bryant is win and in. Merrimack needs a win and a Binghamton loss to qualify for the tournament. Further, a Bryant win also clinches a tournament berth for Binghamton and eliminates the loser of the UMBC-Vermont matchup. Meanwhile, a Merrimack win clinches a tournament berth for the loser of the UMBC-Vermont matchup.

UMBC/Vermont: Regardless of the outcome, the winner is in, and the loser earns a bid with a Merrimack win over Bryant, but is eliminated with a Bryant win over Merrimack.

ASUN: Six teams earn a bid, four have clinched. Utah, Jacksonville and Air Force all have clinched and currently are in a three way tie for the conference lead. None of them controls their own destiny, however:

Utah: Needs a win and either an Air Force loss or a Jacksonville win. Alternatively, Utah also gets the #1 seed if all three lose.

Jacksonville: Needs a win and a Utah loss.

Air Force: Needs a win and a Jacksonville loss.

Bellarmine has clinched a bid in the conference tournament and is locked into the #4 seed.

Remaining two seeds will be earned by Cleveland State, Robert Morris or Detroit.

Cleveland State: Needs a win over Detroit, or a loss combined with a Robert Morris loss and a Cleveland State loss by < 14 goals.

Robert Morris: Needs a win or a Cleveland State win, or a Cleveland State loss by < 13 goals.

Detroit: Win and in.

A-10: Field is set, but seeding will be determined by this week's head-to-head matchups:

Richmond/St. Joe's: Winner is #1 seed, loser is #2 seed.

High Point/UMass: Winner is #3 seed, loser is #4 seed.

Big East: Denver, Georgetown and Villanova all have clinched berths. Providence/St. John's matchup this week is de facto extension of the Big East tournament, in that the winner is in and the loser is out.

Denver has clinched #1 seed. Georgetown/Villanova winner will be #2 seed. Georgetown will be #3 seed with a loss. Villanova will be #3 seed with a loss and a Providence loss. Providence will be #3 seed with a win and a Villanova loss. Villanova will be #4 seed with a loss and a Providence win. Providence will be #4 seed with a win and a Villanova win. St. Johns will be #4 seed with a win.

Big Ten: Everyone makes the field, seeding is set and tournament begins this weekend.

#4 Michigan plays #5 Ohio State, winner plays #1 Johns Hopkins next week.
#3 Penn State plays #6 Rutgers, winner plays #2 Maryland next week.

CAA: Three teams have clinched, four are in contention for final berth with none controlling their own destiny:

Delaware/Towson: Winner is #1 seed, loser is #2 seed. Fairfield is locked into #3 seed.

Drexel, Hofstra, Monmouth and Stony Brook all are in contention for #4 seed. This week, Drexel plays Monmouth and Hofstra plays Stony Brook.

Drexel: Needs win and Hofstra win.
Hofstra: Needs win and Monmouth win.
Monmouth: Needs win and Stony Brook win.
Stony Brook: Needs win and Drexel win.

Ivy: Cornell, Yale and Penn have clinched berths. Cornell clinches #1 seed with a win or a Yale loss (against Princeton). Yale would need a win and a Cornell loss. Princeton gets last berth with a win or a Brown loss. Brown gets final berth with a win and a Princeton loss.

MAAC: Six team field is set with opening round of tournament this weekend.

#4 Marist plays #5 Siena, winner faces #1 Sacred Heart next week.
#3 Manhattan plays #6 Quinnipiac, winner faces #2 LIU next week.

Patriot: Field is set; however, seeding permutations are still quite complicated (e.g., Colgate could be anywhere from #1 seed to #6 seed.) Teams that have clinched a berth in the conference tournament are: Army, Colgate, Lehigh, Loyola, Boston U and Navy.


Replies: