Then who goes instead?

The bubble has shrunk, but not as significantly as it first appeared. Moreover, several bubble teams -- Penn, Penn State and Stony Brook come to mind -- took themselves off the bubble with first round losses in their respective conference tournaments.

Albany probably claimed one at-large bid. Denver claimed another, but Marquette probably would have claimed that bid otherwise. At this point, I think there are only three bubble teams left: Navy, Rutgers and Villanova. One of those teams will be in, and the others will be out, if Yale beats Harvard. If Harvard beats Yale, Yale will get the last at-large bid and aall three will be out.